I've bookmark marked that link (thanks), I'm a cup half full type of guy so I always try to get a positive spin on low hand gambles which is I why I would have preferred to look at that hand and think to myself "hell, I have a >89% chance of hitting the 2nd land and if I do, I'll have something to cast every turn while i wait for lands 3-4".
But that's not the way it works.
Think of it this way . . . the probability of flipping a coin to heads 10 times in a row is about 0.1%. Now, let's
say you just flipped 9 heads in a row. What's the probability of the next toss being heads? Well? What you're doing with the land calculation is equivalent to saying: "Well, since there's only a 0.1% chance I'll toss heads 10 times in a row, and since I tossed heads 9 times, that means there's a 99.9% chance I'm going to toss tails." Of course, each event has to be taken on its own. So, no matter how many times you toss heads, you still have a 50/50 probability of the next being heads.
Try it. Build a 53 card deck with 22 lands and see how many times you top deck a land.
The key to that 89% are the words "at least" 2 lands in 8 cards. That includes all the draws you get 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 and 8 lands in your first 8 cards.
If you keep a 1-land hand, 58% of the time you won't draw a land on T2.